January 03, 2014 2:40 AM CST

Oklahoma vs Alabama 1/2/2014

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Oklahoma. AJ McCarron is averaging 190 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and T.J. Yeldon is projected for 100 rushing yards and a 73% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Oklahoma wins, Trevor Knight averages 1.09 TD passes vs 0.79 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.56 TDs to 1.11 interceptions. Brennan Clay averages 73 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when Oklahoma wins and 67 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -15 --- Over/Under line is 51.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games7-5-0All Games6-5-0Oklahoma
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field2-3-0Oklahoma
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored6-5-0Oklahoma
Non-Conference Opp3-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Oklahoma
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Oklahoma

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-7-0All Games7-6-0Alabama
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Alabama
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored7-6-0Alabama
Non-Conference Opp0-3-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Alabama
Opp .500+ Record4-5-0Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Oklahoma


All Totals (O-U-P)6-5-1All Totals (O-U-P)5-5-1OVER
On Road3-2-1At Home2-3-1No Edge
All Totals Last Season7-5-0All Totals Last Season6-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-3-0At Home Last Season1-5-0UNDER

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