Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6/7/2013
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 17-16 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 16-16 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers\' starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is forecasted to have a better game than Braves\' starter Paul Maholm. Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Paul Maholm has a 53% chance of a QS. If Hyun-Jin Ryu has a quality start the Dodgers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 67%. In Paul Maholm quality starts the Braves win 53%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Yasiel Puig who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Justin Upton who averaged 1.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-16, 50% -120 | Record at Home | 17-16, 52% -388 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 3-1, 75% 80 | VS Atlanta Braves | 1-3, 25% -204 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 25-9, 74% 1004 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-21, 32% -1330 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-6, 57% 304 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-13, 50% -481 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Paul Maholm Starts | 8-4, 67% 251 | When Hyun-Jin Ryu Starts | 7-5, 58% 57 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -280 | Record at Home | 10-6, 62% 184 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 3-1, 75% 80 | VS Atlanta Braves | 1-3, 25% -204 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-8, 62% 72 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-8, 33% -426 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-3, 50% 3 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -9 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Paul Maholm Starts | 4-1, 80% 172 | When Hyun-Jin Ryu Starts | 3-2, 60% 22 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-12, 61% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-12, 64% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-7, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-43, 43% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Paul Maholm STARTS | 9-3, 75% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Hyun-Jin Ryu STARTS | 7-4, 64% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 14-18, 44% -1005 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 19-14, 58% +598 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 7-7, 50% -254 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-6, 62% +381
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 15-17, 47% -512 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-12, 64% +472 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 9-5, 64% +259 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 11-5, 69% +381
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 11-18, 38% -880 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 11-16, 41% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 7-7, 50% -70
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