NFL TNF Analyst Pick: Eagles at Panthers - Week 6

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NFL Thursday - Panthers vs Eagles

Thursday night NFL action in this week's slate features a pair of 4-1 teams looking to keep momentum trending the right way. The Panthers are slight 3-to-3.5-point favorites, getting the nod as the home side in what's projected as a tight matchup.

Date/Time: Thursday, 10/12 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Spread: Panthers -3.5
Total: 45.5

Vegas Odds
There really hasn't been a whole lot of movement on the line, Vegas and the public expecting a close matchup Thursday night.

The line opened at -3 for Carolina, moving up just a half-point in some books across Vegas. Same for the total, up a half-point to 45.5.

Betting Trends
• The Eagles are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last eight games.
• The Eagles are 6-1 straight up (SU) in their last seven games.
• The Eagles 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
• The total has gone OVER seven of the Eagles' last 10 games.
• The Panthers are 1-3-2 in their last six games at home.

Top AccuScore Trends: After Week 5
- All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 43-30-4, 58.9% +1,000
- All Side Value Picks: 44-31, 58.7% +1800
- All Totals Picks: 44-29-4, 60.3% +1210
All NFL Spread, Totals & Side Value Picks: +4010 profit!

All of AccuScore's Week 6 NFL Picks

What to Watch For
Trouble on the O-line: As John Breech of CBS Sports first pointed out, the absence of offensive lineman Lane Johnson has the potential to be a huge game changer this week; Johnson suffered a concussion in Sunday's game against the Arizona Cardinals and is projected to be out Thursday night on a short week.

Why's that such a big deal? Johnson has been in the lineup for 11 of Wentz's 21 career starts.

In those 11 games, Wentz has a 9-2 record, 65.7 completion percentage, 2,766 yards, 20 TDs, 5 INTs, and a 99.9 passer rating.

He went 2-8 in the games without Johnson, looking like a completely different product on the field. In those 10 games, he went 2-8 and threw twice as many INTs (12) as TDs (6).

Wentz is projected to finish Thursday's game with 261 yards, averaging 1.3 TDs to 0.8 INTs in sims.

Ground Game: Philly's run defense has actually been solid this year -- containing the likes of Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt so far this season. The Eagles gave up some late yardage on the ground to the Chiefs and Chargers, but for the most part have been consistently above average in that category.

The Panthers are projected to finish with at least 1 rushing TD.

Analyst's Pick
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