Steelers at Bengals: Free NFL Monday Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Steelers at Bengals - Preview, Odds & Free Analyst Pick

Week 13 in the NFL finishes up Monday night in Cincinnati as the Bengals host the Pittsburgh Steelers as fairly heavy home 'dogs. Pittsburgh won the first meeting of the season 29-14.

Vegas Odds

The Steelers opened up nearly as a TD-favorite before settling at -4.5 or -5 at the time of publication.

The total has been steady since opening at 43.

Betting Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5
Total: 43

At the time of publication, close to 62 percent of the public were laying the points on the road and taking Pittsburgh.

56 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Steelers' last 11 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in five of the Steelers' last seven games vs the Bengals.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of the Steelers' last six games on the road vs the Bengals.

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What to Watch For

Bengals QB Andy Dalton heads into Week 13 with a 62 percent completion percentage and an 18-to-8 TD-to-INT ratio. Given the change in offensive coordinator and injuries the team has dealt with, Dalton's play has been decent. He's averaging fewer than 200 passing yards per game, which can be an issue given the fact that the Bengals have run 41 fewer plays than any other team in the NFL.

Dalton is projected to finish with 250 passing yards and 1 TD. He averages close to twice as many INTs per sim (1.1) as he does INTs (0.6).

The Bengals defense has been their calling card this year, ranking fifth in the league in completion percentage against.

The Bengals defense averages 1-plus takeaways n the sims, with there being a slightly higher probability of a pick than a recovered fumble. QB Ben Roethlisberger averages 0.8 interceptions per sim.

Steelers WR Antonio Brown is without a doubt one of, if not the best in the game at what he does -- and he's coming off two strong performances. After lighting up Tennessee for 114 yards on 10 receptions and 3 TDs, he finished with 169 on 10 catches for TDs.

Brown is projected to finish with 85 yards on 7 receptions; he averages 0.5 TDs per sim.

Free Analyst's Pick
The UNDER.

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