Ravens v Texans Free Analyst Pick: Cyber Monday NFL

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Ravens vs Texans: Cyber Monday Night Football

Week 12 in the NFL wraps up Monday night in Baltimore as the 5-5 Ravens host the 4-6 Houston Texans at M&T Bank Stadium. Both teams started the season projecting to be a playoff contender; and both are on the bubble heading into Week 12.

Vegas Odds

Betting Line:Baltimore Ravens -7
Total: 38

At the time of publication, about 56 percent of the public were laying the points at home and picking BAL.

59 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

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Betting Trends
-The Texans are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last nine games. -The total has gone OVER in six of the Ravens' last eight games. -The Texans are 2-7 SU in their last nine games against the Ravens.

What to Watch For
Tom Savage has been pretty, pretty bad this season filling in as the starting QB. His 4:3 TD:INT ratio is nothing to boast about and with Lamar Miller as the feature back, he won't have much of a safety net.

Savage is projected to finish with 245 passing yards and 1 TD. He averages about twice as many TDs per sim (1.3) as he does INTs (0.6).

Miller is projected to finish with 55 rushing yards on 16 carries and 0 TDs. He averages just 0.3 Tds per sim.

The Texans defense -- usually known for its prowess with a healthy roster -- is in the bottom half of the league allowing 5.7 yards per play. Sure JJ Watt being injured is a big deal, but the loss of middle linebacker Brian Cushing has been just as crucial. They've still managed to be solid against the run though, allowing just 3.7 yards per carry. Teams have only scored 3 rushing TDs on the Texans; Houston has given up the most passing TDs though.

The Houston defense is projected to have at least one takeaway Monday night.

Analyst's Pick
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Analyst Pick: The OVER.

The total has gone OVER in five of the Ravens' last six games.