September 16, 2018 3:54 AM CDT

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans 9/16/2018

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Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 48% of simulations, and the Tennessee Titans 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 80% when they take care of the ball. The Tennessee Titans wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lamar Miller is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Dion Lewis is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games0-1-0No Edge
Road Games0-1-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Favored0-0-0When Underdog0-0-0No Edge
Division Opp0-0-0Division Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games8-10-0Tennessee Titans
Road Games4-4-0Home Games5-3-0Tennessee Titans
When Favored1-3-0When Underdog3-3-0Tennessee Titans
Division Opp1-5-0Division Opp5-1-0Tennessee Titans
Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Opp Under .5003-6-0Houston Texans

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston TexansO-U-P RECORDTennessee TitansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0No Edge
On Road0-1-0At Home0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season8-8-0All Totals Last Season10-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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