September 16, 2018 3:54 AM CDT

Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers 9/16/2018

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Expect a close game with the Detroit Lions winning 41% of simulations, and the San Francisco 49ers 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Detroit Lions commit fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. The San Francisco 49ers wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matthew Stafford is averaging 280 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44% chance) then he helps his team win 46%. Matt Breida is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 77%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games0-1-0No Edge
Road Games0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp0-1-0Non-Division Opp0-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-7-2All Games9-6-1San Francisco 49ers
Road Games3-3-2Home Games3-4-0Detroit Lions
When Underdog3-5-0When Favored2-0-0San Francisco 49ers
Non-Division Opp3-6-1Non-Division Opp6-4-0San Francisco 49ers
Opp Under .5003-0-2Opp .500+ Record2-2-1Detroit Lions

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit LionsO-U-P RECORDSan Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0No Edge
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season8-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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