December 09, 2018 8:12 AM CST

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills 12/9/2018

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Expect a close game with the New York Jets winning 41% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Jets commit fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 78% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Isaiah Crowell is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. LeSean McCoy is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 78%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New York JetsATS RECORDBuffalo BillsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-8-0All Games6-6-0Buffalo Bills
Road Games2-4-0Home Games2-3-0Buffalo Bills
When Underdog2-7-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Division Opp0-4-0Division Opp2-1-0Buffalo Bills
Opp Under .5002-2-0Opp Under .5004-2-0Buffalo Bills

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New York JetsATS RECORDBuffalo BillsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-6-1All Games10-6-1Buffalo Bills
Road Games2-5-1Home Games5-2-0Buffalo Bills
When Underdog9-4-1When Favored5-1-1Buffalo Bills
Division Opp3-2-1Division Opp3-3-0New York Jets
Opp .500+ Record7-2-1Opp Under .5003-2-1New York Jets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York JetsO-U-P RECORDBuffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-7-0No Edge
On Road3-3-0At Home3-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season7-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season4-3-1UNDER

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