December 10, 2017 11:35 AM CST

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos 12/10/2017

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Expect a close game with the New York Jets winning 44% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Jets commit fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matt Forte is averaging 55 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16% chance) then he helps his team win 82%. C.J. Anderson is averaging 41 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 81%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New York JetsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-4-1All Games2-10-0New York Jets
Road Games1-3-1Home Games2-4-0Denver Broncos
When Favored0-1-0When Underdog1-5-0Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp4-3-0Non-Division Opp1-6-0New York Jets
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0New York Jets

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New York JetsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-10-0All Games9-7-0Denver Broncos
Road Games2-6-0Home Games5-3-0Denver Broncos
When Favored2-2-0When Underdog3-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp3-7-0Non-Division Opp7-3-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp Under .5004-1-0Denver Broncos

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York JetsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-5-0OVER
On Road2-3-0At Home3-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7-8-1All Totals Last Season6-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-4-1At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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