October 14, 2018 11:04 AM CDT

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals 10/14/2018

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Expect a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 53% of simulations, and the Cincinnati Bengals 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 42% of simulations and they go on to win 81% when they take care of the ball. The Cincinnati Bengals wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. James Conner is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Andy Dalton is averaging 257 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 50%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDCincinnati BengalsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-2-0All Games4-1-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games1-0-0Home Games2-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored2-0-0No Edge
Division Opp0-1-0Division Opp1-0-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Cincinnati Bengals

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDCincinnati BengalsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-10-0All Games9-7-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games4-4-0Home Games4-4-0No Edge
When Underdog1-1-0When Favored3-4-0Pittsburgh Steelers
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp4-2-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp Under .5001-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Cincinnati Bengals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDCincinnati BengalsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-1-0OVER
On Road1-0-0At Home1-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season6-11-0All Totals Last Season6-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season0-8-0At Home Last Season2-6-0UNDER

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