October 14, 2018 11:04 AM CDT

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans 10/14/2018

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Expect a close game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 56% of simulations, and the Tennessee Titans 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 21% of simulations and they go on to win 90% when they take care of the ball. The Tennessee Titans wins 52% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alex Collins is averaging 50 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 79%. Dion Lewis is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 58%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-2-0All Games3-2-0No Edge
Road Games1-2-0Home Games2-0-0Tennessee Titans
When Favored2-1-0When Underdog3-0-0Tennessee Titans
Non-Division Opp2-0-0Non-Division Opp1-2-0Baltimore Ravens
Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Tennessee Titans

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games8-10-0Baltimore Ravens
Road Games6-2-0Home Games5-3-0Baltimore Ravens
When Favored5-5-0When Underdog3-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp5-5-0Non-Division Opp3-9-0Baltimore Ravens
Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Baltimore Ravens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore RavensO-U-P RECORDTennessee TitansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0UNDER
On Road1-2-0At Home1-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season10-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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