January 14, 2019 5:50 AM CST

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs 1/20/2019

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The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat the New England Patriots. Damien Williams is projected for 65 rushing yards and a 52% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Tom Brady averages 2.52 TD passes vs 0.54 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.94 TDs to 0.87 interceptions. Sony Michel averages 86 rushing yards and 0.82 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 55 yards and 0.41 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 76% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-7-0All Games11-6-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games3-5-0Home Games5-4-0Kansas City Chiefs
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored7-6-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp6-5-0Non-Division Opp8-3-0Kansas City Chiefs
Opp .500+ Record4-5-0Opp .500+ Record7-2-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-7-1All Games10-7-0New England Patriots
Road Games5-2-1Home Games6-3-0New England Patriots
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored7-6-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp7-5-1Non-Division Opp5-6-0New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record3-3-1Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Kansas City Chiefs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-11-0All Totals (O-U-P)10-7-0UNDER
On Road3-5-0At Home3-6-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season9-9-1All Totals Last Season7-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season2-5-1At Home Last Season2-6-1UNDER

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