January 11, 2019 2:03 PM CST

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs 1/12/2019

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The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat the Indianapolis Colts. Damien Williams is projected for 57 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Indianapolis Colts wins, Andrew Luck averages 1.99 TD passes vs 0.59 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.59 TDs to 0.96 interceptions. Marlon Mack averages 113 rushing yards and 1.23 rushing TDs when Indianapolis Colts wins and 62 yards and 0.48 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 65% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-1All Games10-6-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games6-3-0Home Games4-4-0Indianapolis Colts
When Underdog4-3-0When Favored6-6-0Indianapolis Colts
Non-Division Opp5-5-0Non-Division Opp7-3-0Kansas City Chiefs
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record7-2-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-8-0All Games10-7-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games3-5-0Home Games6-3-0Kansas City Chiefs
When Underdog6-8-0When Favored7-6-0Kansas City Chiefs
Non-Division Opp6-4-0Non-Division Opp5-6-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp .500+ Record1-4-0Opp Under .5001-3-0Kansas City Chiefs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Indianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)10-6-0OVER
On Road4-5-0At Home3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-10-0All Totals Last Season7-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season2-6-1UNDER

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