January 11, 2019 2:03 PM CST

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams 1/12/2019

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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 41% of simulations, and the Los Angeles Rams 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. The Los Angeles Rams wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ezekiel Elliott is averaging 80 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Todd Gurley is averaging 110 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDLos Angeles RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-6-2All Games6-10-0Dallas Cowboys
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-5-0Dallas Cowboys
When Underdog6-3-0When Favored6-9-0Dallas Cowboys
Non-Division Opp4-5-2Non-Division Opp3-7-0Dallas Cowboys
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record1-7-0Dallas Cowboys

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDLos Angeles RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-7-1All Games9-7-1Los Angeles Rams
Road Games5-2-1Home Games4-5-1Dallas Cowboys
When Underdog0-2-0When Favored6-5-1Los Angeles Rams
Non-Division Opp3-6-1Non-Division Opp6-5-0Los Angeles Rams
Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Los Angeles Rams

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDLos Angeles RamsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-9-0UNDER
On Road2-6-0At Home5-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-10-0All Totals Last Season11-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season4-5-0UNDER

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