Troy at Arkansas State: College Football Preview & Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Troy at Arkansas State: College Football Saturday Pick

There's plenty of NCAA Football action this Saturday and we've got a play that's going against Vegas odds. Arkansas State hosts the Trojans of Troy Saturday in probably what's the most evenly-matched pairing of the day.

Vegas Odds

Arkansas opened as 1-point favorites before the game settled as a pick 'em in most books; some books, however actually had the line move to the other side with Troy as a half-point to 1-point favorite.

The total opened at 58.5 before settling a bit higher at 59.5/60.

Betting Line: Pick 'Em
Total: 60

At the time of publication, public action on the spread was evenly split 50-50.

76 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

AccuScore has picks for every major Division 1-A game: Saturday's College Football Picks

Betting Trends
- Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- Troy is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 6 games when playing Arkansas State

What to Watch For

Arkansas State's 14th-ranked offense is led by Justice Hansen's 32 TD passes -- an offense that does a remarkable job of spreading the ball around. They've got depth and experience in their receivers, but it just might be TE Blake Mack who shines the brightest. He has caught 40 passes to go along with 7 TDs this season.

Hansen is projected to finish with 257 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

Mack averages 0.3 TDs per sim, to go along with 38 yards on 3 receptions.

Troy has run for 1,758 yards as a unit this season, putting them 84th in the nation. They average about 5.1 yards per unit.

Jordan Chunn is projected to lead the way on the ground for Troy on Saturday. He averages 110 yards and 1+ TDs per sim.

Analyst's Pick

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