2017 Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue

It may not be one of the more talked-about bowl games, but Wednesday's matchup between Arizona and Purdue at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA just might end up being one of the most exciting games of the season. Fans should be treated to some high octane offenses as all eyes will be on Arizona QB Khalil Tate and a team led by offensive genius Jeff Brohm.

Let's take a closer look at this matchup and how to bet the game.

All of AccuScore's College Football picks
Our computer has simulated every Bowl game 10,000 times based on trends, team and player statistics: College Football Bowl Picks

Vegas Odds
Arizona opened as a 3.5-point favorite before settling in a half-point lower in most books. The total dropped just a point since opening at 66.5.

Betting Line: Arizona -3
Total: 65.5

At the time of publication, 52 percent of the public were taking the points and picking Purdue.

62 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
• Purdue is just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six bowl games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of Arizona's last six games.

What to Watch For
Arizona's QB is a Beast: Despite missing close to four weeks at the beginning of the season, Tate still finished the regular season having thrown for 1,289 passing yards, rushed for 1,353 yards and scored 21 total touchdowns. He does have the tendency to turn the ball over, but that doesn't seem to be an issue in our sims for this bowl matchup.

Tate is projected to finish with 233 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, and 1 INT. The Purdue defense is projected to force 1 takeaway, but average zero QB sacks.

Purdue's Turnaround: A big reason the team went from a 3-6 finish in 2016 to making a bowl game in 2017 was how the defense played this year. The Boilermakers defense ranks 28th nationally in S&P+, and its run defense stands is remarkable at No. 6 in the country. They'll have their hands full against Tate.

Tate is projected to finish with 113 rushing yards and 1 TD on the ground.

Analyst's Pick
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