September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Western Kentucky vs Louisville 09/15/2018

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Louisville is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Western Kentucky. Jawon Pass is averaging 276 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Colin Wilson is projected for 52 rushing yards and a 39% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Western Kentucky wins, Drew Eckels averages 1.58 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.75 TDs to 0.83 interceptions. Marquez Trigg averages 40 rushing yards and 0.47 rushing TDs when Western Kentucky wins and 37 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Louisville has a 20% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -23 --- Over/Under line is 57

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Western KentuckyATS RECORDLouisvilleATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-0-0All Games0-1-0Western Kentucky
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Non-Conference Opp0-1-0Western Kentucky
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Western KentuckyATS RECORDLouisvilleATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-8-0All Games5-7-0Louisville
Road & Neutral Field1-6-0Home Games2-3-0Louisville
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored4-6-0Western Kentucky
Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp Under .5003-2-0Louisville

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Western KentuckyO-U-P RECORDLouisvilleO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0No Edge
On Road0-1-0At Home0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-5-1All Totals Last Season4-6-2UNDER
On Road Last Season3-4-0At Home Last Season2-3-0UNDER

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