September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Texas State vs South Alabama 09/15/2018 Game Forecast Preview  
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South Alabama is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat Texas State. Deonta Moore is projected for 69 rushing yards and a 50% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Texas State wins, Willie Jones III averages 1.31 TD passes vs 1.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.63 TDs to 2.17 interceptions. Anthony D. Taylor averages 54 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 47 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. South Alabama has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USA -10.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games0-1-0All Games1-1-0South Alabama
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games1-0-0South Alabama
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-6-0All Games5-6-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Home Games2-3-0Texas State
When Underdog5-6-0When Favored1-4-0Texas State
Conference Opp4-4-0Conference Opp4-4-0No Edge
Opp Under .5001-4-0Opp Under .5002-4-0South Alabama


Texas StateO-U-P RECORDSouth AlabamaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-0-0OVER
On Road0-1-0At Home1-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season6-4-0All Totals Last Season2-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-3-0At Home Last Season0-5-0UNDER

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