Texas State vs South Alabama 09/15/2018
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
South Alabama is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat Texas State. Deonta Moore is projected for 69 rushing yards and a 50% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Texas State wins, Willie Jones III averages 1.31 TD passes vs 1.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.63 TDs to 2.17 interceptions. Anthony D. Taylor averages 54 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 47 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. South Alabama has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USA -10.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | South Alabama | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 0-1-0 | All Games | 1-1-0 | South Alabama |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 1-0-0 | South Alabama |
| When Underdog | 0-1-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | South Alabama | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-6-0 | All Games | 5-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | Home Games | 2-3-0 | Texas State |
| When Underdog | 5-6-0 | When Favored | 1-4-0 | Texas State |
| Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-4-0 | South Alabama |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas State | O-U-P RECORD | South Alabama | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-0-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-4-0 | All Totals Last Season | 2-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 0-5-0 | UNDER |
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