Southern Miss vs Appalachian State 09/15/2018
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
Appalachian State is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Southern Miss. Zac Thomas is averaging 235 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Jalin Moore is projected for 101 rushing yards and a 68% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Southern Miss wins, Jack Abraham averages 1.43 TD passes vs 0.76 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Tez Parks averages 36 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs when Southern Miss wins and 35 yards and 0.18 TDs in losses. Appalachian State has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is APP -16 --- Over/Under line is 45.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | Appalachian State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 0-1-0 | All Games | 2-0-0 | Appalachian State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-0-0 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-0-0 | When Favored | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Appalachian State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 0-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | Appalachian State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-5-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | Southern Miss |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-3-0 | Home Games | 4-1-0 | Appalachian State |
| When Underdog | 4-2-0 | When Favored | 4-5-0 | Southern Miss |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-0-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | Appalachian State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-0-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 0-0-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-5-0 | All Totals Last Season | 4-7-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-2-0 | OVER |
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