September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Southern Miss vs Appalachian State 09/15/2018 Game Forecast Preview  
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Appalachian State is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Southern Miss. Zac Thomas is averaging 235 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Jalin Moore is projected for 101 rushing yards and a 68% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Southern Miss wins, Jack Abraham averages 1.43 TD passes vs 0.76 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.08 interceptions. Tez Parks averages 36 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs when Southern Miss wins and 35 yards and 0.18 TDs in losses. Appalachian State has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is APP -16 --- Over/Under line is 45.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Southern MissATS RECORDAppalachian StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games2-0-0Appalachian State
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored1-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-1-0Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Appalachian State
Opp .500+ Record0-1-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Southern MissATS RECORDAppalachian StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games6-6-0Southern Miss
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Home Games4-1-0Appalachian State
When Underdog4-2-0When Favored4-5-0Southern Miss
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Opp .500+ Record2-0-0No Edge


Southern MissO-U-P RECORDAppalachian StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-0-0OVER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-5-0All Totals Last Season4-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season5-2-0At Home Last Season2-2-0OVER

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