September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Southern Methodist vs Michigan 09/15/2018 Game Forecast Preview  
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Michigan is a heavy favorite winning 97% of simulations over Southern Methodist. Shea Patterson is averaging 290 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Karan Higdon is projected for 129 rushing yards and a 81% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 3% of simulations where Southern Methodist wins, Ben Hicks averages 1.75 TD passes vs 0.75 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.64 TDs to 1 interceptions. Xavier Jones averages 52 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when Southern Methodist wins and 42 yards and 0.26 TDs in losses. Michigan has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICH -35 --- Over/Under line is 53.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games0-2-0All Games1-1-0Michigan
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games1-0-0Michigan
When Underdog0-2-0When Favored1-0-0Michigan
Non-Conference Opp0-2-0Non-Conference Opp1-1-0Michigan
Opp .500+ Record0-1-0Opp Under .5001-0-0Michigan

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-7-0All Games7-6-0Michigan
Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Home Games3-3-0Michigan
When Underdog2-3-0When Favored5-4-0Michigan
Non-Conference Opp2-3-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Southern Methodist
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Michigan


Southern MethodistO-U-P RECORDMichiganO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-2-0UNDER
On Road0-1-0At Home0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-6-0All Totals Last Season7-5-1OVER
On Road Last Season3-3-0At Home Last Season4-2-0OVER

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