September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

South Florida vs Illinois 09/15/2018 Game Forecast Preview  
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South Florida is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over Illinois. Blake Barnett is averaging 255 passing yards and 1.77 TDs per simulation and Duran Bell Jr. is projected for 62 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where Illinois wins, M.J. Rivers II averages 1.17 TD passes vs 1.26 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.57 TDs to 1.54 interceptions. Reggie Corbin averages 72 rushing yards and 1.5 rushing TDs when Illinois wins and 57 yards and 0.78 TDs in losses. South Florida has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL +10 --- Over/Under line is 59

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games1-0-0All Games0-1-0South Florida
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Road & Neutral Field0-0-0No Edge
When Favored0-0-0When Underdog0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Non-Conference Opp0-1-0South Florida
Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-7-0All Games4-8-0South Florida
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field2-3-0South Florida
When Favored4-7-0When Underdog4-6-0Illinois
Non-Conference Opp2-3-0Non-Conference Opp1-2-0South Florida
Opp Under .5001-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Illinois


All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0No Edge
On Road & Neutral Field0-0-0On Road & Neutral Field0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-5-0All Totals Last Season5-7-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '174-2-0On Road & Neutral Field '173-2-0OVER

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