September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Oregon State vs Nevada 09/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oregon State winning 50% of simulations, and Nevada 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oregon State commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Nevada wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jake Luton is averaging 330 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Ty Gangi is averaging 326 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEV -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 70

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Oregon StateATS RECORDNevadaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games0-1-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-1-0Non-Conference Opp0-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Oregon StateATS RECORDNevadaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-6-0All Games6-5-0Nevada
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Home Games4-1-0Nevada
When Underdog5-5-0When Favored2-0-0Nevada
Non-Conference Opp0-2-0Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Nevada
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp Under .5003-1-0Nevada

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oregon StateO-U-P RECORDNevadaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0No Edge
On Road1-0-0At Home0-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-3-0All Totals Last Season4-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-1-0At Home Last Season2-3-0OVER

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