September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Ohio vs Virginia 09/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Ohio winning 48% of simulations, and Virginia 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Ohio commits fewer turnovers in 23% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Virginia wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. A.J. Ouellette is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Chris Jones is averaging 46 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 41

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

OhioATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-0-0All Games1-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

OhioATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games6-6-0Ohio
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Home Games3-3-0Virginia
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored2-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .5004-5-0Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Virginia

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

OhioO-U-P RECORDVirginiaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0UNDER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7-5-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-3-0At Home Last Season3-3-0OVER

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