September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

North Texas vs Arkansas 09/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Texas winning 43% of simulations, and Arkansas 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Texas commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. Arkansas wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Mason Fine is averaging 353 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. Devwah Whaley is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARK -7 --- Over/Under line is 70

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North TexasATS RECORDArkansasATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-0-0All Games0-1-0North Texas
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored0-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Non-Conference Opp0-1-0North Texas
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

North TexasATS RECORDArkansasATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-6-1All Games4-7-0North Texas
Road & Neutral Field4-4-0Home Games3-3-0No Edge
When Underdog4-4-0When Favored1-2-0North Texas
Non-Conference Opp1-2-1Non-Conference Opp1-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .5003-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-6-0North Texas

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North TexasO-U-P RECORDArkansasO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0UNDER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season8-5-0All Totals Last Season6-4-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-2-0OVER

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