September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

New Mexico vs New Mexico State 09/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with New Mexico winning 52% of simulations, and New Mexico State 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. New Mexico commits fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. New Mexico State wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tyrone Owens is averaging 89 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Matt Romero is averaging 288 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (26% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMXST +5 --- Over/Under line is 58

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New MexicoATS RECORDNew Mexico StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-0-0All Games0-3-0New Mexico
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games0-1-0New Mexico
When Favored0-0-0When Underdog0-3-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Non-Conference Opp0-3-0New Mexico
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New MexicoATS RECORDNew Mexico StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-7-0All Games6-6-1New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Home Games2-3-1New Mexico State
When Favored1-3-0When Underdog4-3-0New Mexico State
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp4-1-0New Mexico State
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp Under .5003-5-1New Mexico State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New MexicoO-U-P RECORDNew Mexico StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-1-0No Edge
On Road0-1-0At Home0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-8-0All Totals Last Season5-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-5-0At Home Last Season0-5-0UNDER

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