September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Louisiana-Lafayette vs Mississippi State 09/15/2018

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Mississippi State is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over Louisiana-Lafayette. Nick Fitzgerald is averaging 226 passing yards and 2.3 TDs per simulation and Nick Fitzgerald is projected for 115 rushing yards and a 76% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where Louisiana-Lafayette wins, Andre Nunez averages 2.08 TD passes vs 0.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.78 TDs to 0.8 interceptions. Trey Ragas averages 59 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Louisiana-Lafayette wins and 51 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 30% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST -33 --- Over/Under line is 65.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Louisiana-LafayetteATS RECORDMississippi StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-0-0All Games1-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored1-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record0-0-0Opp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Louisiana-LafayetteATS RECORDMississippi StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-7-0All Games7-5-0Mississippi State
Road & Neutral Field2-5-0Home Games4-2-0Mississippi State
When Underdog3-5-0When Favored4-3-0Mississippi State
Non-Conference Opp0-3-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Mississippi State
Opp .500+ Record0-1-0Opp Under .5001-3-0Mississippi State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Louisiana-LafayetteO-U-P RECORDMississippi StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0UNDER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season7-4-0All Totals Last Season3-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-3-0At Home Last Season1-5-0UNDER

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