September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Duke vs Baylor 09/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Duke winning 44% of simulations, and Baylor 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Duke commits fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. Baylor wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brittain Brown is averaging 91 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Charlie Brewer is averaging 276 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BAY -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 49

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

DukeATS RECORDBaylorATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-0-0All Games1-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored1-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

DukeATS RECORDBaylorATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-6-1All Games5-5-1Baylor
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Home Games2-4-1Duke
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored1-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp2-1-1Non-Conference Opp0-1-1Duke
Opp Under .5001-2-1Opp .500+ Record4-3-1Baylor

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

DukeO-U-P RECORDBaylorO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0OVER
On Road0-1-0At Home0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-9-0All Totals Last Season4-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-5-0At Home Last Season2-4-0UNDER

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