September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Boise State vs Oklahoma State 09/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boise State winning 53% of simulations, and Oklahoma State 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boise State commits fewer turnovers in 54% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Oklahoma State wins 49% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brett Rypien is averaging 268 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Taylor Cornelius is averaging 291 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (28% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OKST -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 64.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Boise StateATS RECORDOklahoma StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-0-0All Games1-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games1-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored1-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record0-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Boise StateATS RECORDOklahoma StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-5-1All Games8-5-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field6-1-0Home Games3-3-0Boise State
When Underdog3-0-0When Favored8-5-0Boise State
Non-Conference Opp3-1-1Non-Conference Opp4-0-0Oklahoma State
Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Boise State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boise StateO-U-P RECORDOklahoma StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0OVER
On Road1-0-0At Home1-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season6-8-0All Totals Last Season9-4-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-3-0At Home Last Season6-0-0OVER

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