September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Arkansas State vs Tulsa 09/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arkansas State winning 52% of simulations, and Tulsa 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arkansas State commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Tulsa wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Justice Hansen is averaging 331 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Shamari Brooks is averaging 85 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TULSA +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 72

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Arkansas StateATS RECORDTulsaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games1-0-0Tulsa
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Favored0-0-0When Underdog1-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-1-0Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Tulsa
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5001-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Arkansas StateATS RECORDTulsaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-6-0All Games5-7-0Arkansas State
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Home Games2-4-0Arkansas State
When Favored4-5-0When Underdog4-5-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Non-Conference Opp5-7-0Tulsa
Opp Under .5004-2-0Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Tulsa

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arkansas StateO-U-P RECORDTulsaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field0-1-0On Road & Neutral Field0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season4-6-0All Totals Last Season5-7-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '174-3-0On Road & Neutral Field '173-3-0OVER

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