September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Alabama vs Mississippi 09/15/2018

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 90% of simulations over Mississippi. Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 293 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Damien Harris is projected for 92 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10% of simulations where Mississippi wins, Jordan Ta\'amu averages 2.22 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.18 TDs to 0.54 interceptions. Scottie Phillips averages 94 rushing yards and 1.09 rushing TDs when Mississippi wins and 90 yards and 0.59 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 39% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISS +21 --- Over/Under line is 71

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

AlabamaATS RECORDMississippiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-0-0All Games1-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Favored2-0-0When Underdog1-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

AlabamaATS RECORDMississippiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-8-0All Games4-6-1Mississippi
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Home Games2-4-1Alabama
When Favored5-8-0When Underdog2-2-1Mississippi
Conference Opp3-6-0Conference Opp3-4-1Mississippi
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-1Alabama

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

AlabamaO-U-P RECORDMississippiO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-0-0OVER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season5-8-0All Totals Last Season8-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season3-4-0At Home Last Season5-1-0OVER

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