September 13, 2018 1:04 PM CDT

Georgia State vs Memphis 09/14/2018

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Memphis is a heavy favorite winning 94% of simulations over Georgia State. Brady White is averaging 314 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Darrell Henderson is projected for 102 rushing yards and a 75% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 6% of simulations where Georgia State wins, Dan Ellington averages 2.12 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.94 TDs to 0.89 interceptions. Dan Ellington averages 45 rushing yards and 0.41 rushing TDs when Georgia State wins and 39 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Memphis has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MEM -28 --- Over/Under line is 58

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Georgia StateATS RECORDMemphisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-1-0All Games0-1-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored0-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-1-0Non-Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Georgia StateATS RECORDMemphisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games8-4-1Memphis
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Home Games4-2-1Memphis
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored5-3-0Memphis
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp3-2-0Memphis
Opp .500+ Record1-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-1Memphis

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Georgia StateO-U-P RECORDMemphisO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-1-0UNDER
On Road0-1-0At Home0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-7-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-3-0At Home Last Season4-2-0OVER

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