December 07, 2017 3:14 PM CST

Army vs Navy 12/9/2017

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Army winning 48% of simulations, and Navy 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Army commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Navy wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ahmad Bradshaw is averaging 116 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Zach Abey is averaging 109 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NAVY -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 46.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

ArmyATS RECORDNavyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-6-1All Games4-7-0Navy
Road & Neutral Field2-2-1Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Navy
When Underdog2-2-1When Favored2-5-0Army
Non-Conference Opp3-6-1Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Navy
Opp .500+ Record0-1-1Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Navy

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

ArmyATS RECORDNavyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-6-0All Games8-4-1Navy
Road & Neutral Field4-4-0Road & Neutral Field5-4-0Navy
When Underdog3-2-0When Favored4-2-1Navy
Non-Conference Opp5-5-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Opp .500+ Record3-3-1Army

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

ArmyO-U-P RECORDNavyO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-7-0UNDER
On Road2-3-0At Home3-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season3-8-0All Totals Last Season8-5-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season4-0-0UNDER

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