December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

Michigan State vs Oregon 12/31/2018

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Oregon is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Michigan State. CJ Verdell is projected for 81 rushing yards and a 59% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Rocky Lombardi averages 1.44 TD passes vs 1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Connor Heyward averages 59 rushing yards and 0.58 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 52 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 48% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OR -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 48

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Michigan StateATS RECORDOregonATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-8-0All Games5-6-0Oregon
Road & Neutral Field3-2-0Road & Neutral Field2-3-0Michigan State
When Underdog1-2-0When Favored4-3-0Oregon
Non-Conference Opp0-3-0Non-Conference Opp1-1-0Oregon
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Michigan State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Michigan StateATS RECORDOregonATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-6-0All Games5-7-0Michigan State
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Michigan State
When Underdog1-2-0When Favored3-4-0Oregon
Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Michigan State
Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Oregon

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Michigan StateO-U-P RECORDOregonO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-5-0UNDER
On Road1-4-0At Home3-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-7-0All Totals Last Season6-6-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-2-0At Home Last Season5-1-0OVER

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