December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

Oklahoma vs Alabama 12/29/2018

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over Oklahoma. Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 297 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Damien Harris is projected for 94 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Oklahoma wins, Kyler Murray averages 2.72 TD passes vs 0.37 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.53 TDs to 0.57 interceptions. Kennedy Brooks averages 85 rushing yards and 0.89 rushing TDs when Oklahoma wins and 78 yards and 0.59 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 33% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -14 --- Over/Under line is 79

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

OklahomaATS RECORDAlabamaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-7-0All Games7-5-0Alabama
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field3-2-0Alabama
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored7-5-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-1-0Alabama
Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Alabama

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

OklahomaATS RECORDAlabamaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-5-1All Games5-8-0Oklahoma
Road & Neutral Field3-4-1Road & Neutral Field3-4-0No Edge
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored5-8-0Oklahoma
Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Oklahoma
Opp .500+ Record5-1-1Opp .500+ Record2-6-0Oklahoma

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

OklahomaO-U-P RECORDAlabamaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)11-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0OVER
On Road5-1-0At Home4-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-5-2All Totals Last Season5-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season2-4-0UNDER

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