December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

Florida vs Michigan 12/29/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 41% of simulations, and Michigan 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 23% of simulations and they go on to win 47% when they take care of the ball. Michigan wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jordan Scarlett is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Karan Higdon is averaging 117 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICH -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 51

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

FloridaATS RECORDMichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-4-0All Games6-6-0Florida
Road & Neutral Field4-1-0Road & Neutral Field1-4-0Florida
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored6-5-0Florida
Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Florida
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-2-0Michigan

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

FloridaATS RECORDMichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-8-0All Games7-6-0Michigan
Road & Neutral Field0-5-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Michigan
When Underdog0-5-0When Favored5-4-0Michigan
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Florida
Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Opp Under .5001-1-0Michigan

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

FloridaO-U-P RECORDMichiganO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0OVER
On Road4-1-0At Home4-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season6-5-0All Totals Last Season7-5-1OVER
On Road Last Season4-1-0At Home Last Season4-2-0OVER

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