December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

California vs TCU 12/26/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with California winning 58% of simulations, and TCU 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. California commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. TCU wins 48% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Patrick Laird is averaging 72 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Emari Demercado is averaging 44 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (14% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TCU +0 --- Over/Under line is 40.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

CaliforniaATS RECORDTCUATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-6-0All Games4-7-0California
Road & Neutral Field4-1-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0California
When Underdog4-2-0When Favored1-5-0California
Non-Conference Opp1-1-0Non-Conference Opp2-0-0TCU
Opp Under .5001-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0TCU

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

CaliforniaATS RECORDTCUATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-0All Games7-5-1California
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-1TCU
When Underdog7-3-0When Favored6-4-0California
Non-Conference Opp2-1-0Non-Conference Opp2-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp Under .5002-1-0California

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

CaliforniaO-U-P RECORDTCUO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-7-0UNDER
On Road0-5-0At Home1-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-6-0All Totals Last Season4-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-3-0At Home Last Season2-3-0UNDER

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