December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

Boston College vs Boise State 12/26/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boston College winning 44% of simulations, and Boise State 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boston College commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Boise State wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. AJ Dillon is averaging 109 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. Alexander Mattison is averaging 106 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -3 --- Over/Under line is 55

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Boston CollegeATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-5-1All Games8-5-0Boise State
Road & Neutral Field2-3-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Boise State
When Underdog1-1-1When Favored7-4-0Boise State
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Boise State
Opp .500+ Record3-3-1Opp .500+ Record3-3-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Boston CollegeATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-1All Games8-5-1Boston College
Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Road & Neutral Field6-1-0Boise State
When Underdog5-3-1When Favored5-5-1Boston College
Non-Conference Opp2-3-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-1Boise State
Opp .500+ Record4-2-1Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Boston College

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston CollegeO-U-P RECORDBoise StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-7-0UNDER
On Road1-4-0At Home2-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-7-0All Totals Last Season6-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season5-2-0At Home Last Season2-5-0No Edge

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