December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

Houston vs Army 12/22/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Houston winning 51% of simulations, and Army 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Houston commits fewer turnovers in 11% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. Army wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Patrick Carr is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Darnell Woolfolk is averaging 140 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (39% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARMY -3 --- Over/Under line is 67.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

HoustonATS RECORDArmyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-6-1All Games6-3-0Army
Road & Neutral Field1-4-1Road & Neutral Field4-1-0Army
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored3-2-0Army
Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Non-Conference Opp5-3-0Army
Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Army

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

HoustonATS RECORDArmyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-7-0All Games5-6-1Houston
Road & Neutral Field2-5-0Road & Neutral Field4-2-1Army
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored1-4-0Houston
Non-Conference Opp2-4-0Non-Conference Opp5-6-1Army
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record1-1-1Houston

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

HoustonO-U-P RECORDArmyO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-4-0OVER
On Road5-1-0At Home1-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season3-9-0All Totals Last Season6-6-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-5-0At Home Last Season3-2-0UNDER

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