December 05, 2018 4:17 PM CST

North Texas vs Utah State 12/15/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Texas winning 40% of simulations, and Utah State 60% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Texas commits fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Utah State wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. DeAndre Torrey is averaging 132 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 48%. Darwin Thompson is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST -9 --- Over/Under line is 67.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North TexasATS RECORDUtah StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-6-1All Games7-4-0Utah State
Road & Neutral Field1-4-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Utah State
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored5-3-0North Texas
Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Non-Conference Opp3-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record0-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Utah State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

North TexasATS RECORDUtah StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-6-1All Games5-7-0North Texas
Road & Neutral Field4-4-0Road & Neutral Field3-4-0North Texas
When Underdog4-4-0When Favored2-2-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1-2-1Non-Conference Opp1-3-0North Texas
Opp Under .5003-3-0Opp .500+ Record0-4-0North Texas

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North TexasO-U-P RECORDUtah StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-4-0UNDER
On Road0-5-0At Home5-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season8-5-0All Totals Last Season8-4-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-2-0OVER

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