November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

UNLV vs San Diego State 11/10/2018

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San Diego State is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over UNLV. Christian Chapman is averaging 229 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per simulation and Chance Bell is projected for 77 rushing yards and a 43% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where UNLV wins, Max Gilliam averages 1.89 TD passes vs 0.75 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.84 TDs to 1.15 interceptions. Lexington Thomas averages 86 rushing yards and 1.27 rushing TDs when UNLV wins and 73 yards and 0.62 TDs in losses. San Diego State has a 64% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SDST -22.5 --- Over/Under line is 54.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

UNLVATS RECORDSan Diego StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-4-1All Games2-6-0UNLV
Road & Neutral Field1-2-1Home Games1-3-0UNLV
When Underdog2-3-1When Favored0-5-0UNLV
Conference Opp1-4-0Conference Opp1-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record1-2-1Opp Under .5000-4-0UNLV

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

UNLVATS RECORDSan Diego StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-4-0All Games8-4-0San Diego State
Road & Neutral Field5-1-0Home Games3-3-0UNLV
When Underdog4-2-0When Favored6-4-0UNLV
Conference Opp5-3-0Conference Opp6-2-0San Diego State
Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Opp Under .5005-0-0San Diego State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

UNLVO-U-P RECORDSan Diego StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0OVER
On Road3-1-0At Home1-3-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season4-7-0All Totals Last Season5-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-4-0At Home Last Season2-4-0UNDER

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