November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

Texas vs Texas Tech 11/10/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Texas winning 45% of simulations, and Texas Tech 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas commits fewer turnovers in 48% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Texas Tech wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Sam Ehlinger is averaging 268 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Jett Duffey is averaging 280 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEXTCH +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 64.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

TexasATS RECORDTexas TechATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-6-0All Games5-3-0Texas Tech
Road & Neutral Field1-3-0Home Games3-1-0Texas Tech
When Favored1-6-0When Underdog4-2-0Texas Tech
Conference Opp2-4-0Conference Opp4-2-0Texas Tech
Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Opp .500+ Record4-2-0Texas Tech

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

TexasATS RECORDTexas TechATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-5-0All Games5-7-0Texas
Road & Neutral Field5-1-0Home Games1-4-0Texas
When Favored3-4-0When Underdog3-4-0No Edge
Conference Opp5-4-0Conference Opp4-5-0Texas
Opp Under .5002-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Texas

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

TexasO-U-P RECORDTexas TechO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-3-0OVER
On Road3-1-0At Home3-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season2-11-0All Totals Last Season6-6-0UNDER
On Road Last Season0-6-0At Home Last Season2-3-0UNDER

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