November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

Ohio State vs Michigan State 11/10/2018

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Ohio State is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat Michigan State. J.K. Dobbins is projected for 63 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Brian Lewerke averages 1.56 TD passes vs 0.6 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.85 TDs to 0.8 interceptions. LJ Scott averages 45 rushing yards and 0.36 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 40 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 78% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST +3.5 --- Over/Under line is 53

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Ohio StateATS RECORDMichigan StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-6-0All Games4-5-0Michigan State
Road & Neutral Field0-3-0Home Games1-4-0Michigan State
When Favored3-6-0When Underdog1-1-0Michigan State
Conference Opp1-5-0Conference Opp4-2-0Michigan State
Opp .500+ Record1-5-0Opp .500+ Record4-2-0Michigan State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Ohio StateATS RECORDMichigan StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-6-1All Games7-6-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field4-2-1Home Games5-2-0Michigan State
When Favored7-6-1When Underdog1-2-0Ohio State
Conference Opp5-4-1Conference Opp4-5-0Ohio State
Opp .500+ Record4-5-1Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Ohio State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ohio StateO-U-P RECORDMichigan StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-5-0UNDER
On Road2-1-0At Home3-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-5-0All Totals Last Season6-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-2-0At Home Last Season2-5-0OVER

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