November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

North Carolina vs Duke 11/10/2018

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Duke is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over North Carolina. Daniel Jones is averaging 230 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Deon Jackson is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where North Carolina wins, Nathan Elliott averages 1.87 TD passes vs 0.7 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.96 TDs to 1.15 interceptions. Antonio Williams averages 57 rushing yards and 0.74 rushing TDs when North Carolina wins and 49 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. Duke has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is DUKE -10.5 --- Over/Under line is 56.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North CarolinaATS RECORDDukeATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-4-0All Games5-3-0Duke
Road & Neutral Field2-3-0Home Games1-2-0North Carolina
When Underdog4-3-0When Favored1-3-0North Carolina
Conference Opp3-3-0Conference Opp2-3-0North Carolina
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp Under .5001-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

North CarolinaATS RECORDDukeATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-7-0All Games5-6-1Duke
Road & Neutral Field3-2-0Home Games2-3-0North Carolina
When Underdog3-6-0When Favored2-3-1Duke
Conference Opp3-5-0Conference Opp3-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record3-6-0Opp Under .5001-2-1No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North CarolinaO-U-P RECORDDukeO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-2-1All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0OVER
On Road3-1-1At Home1-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season5-6-0All Totals Last Season3-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-2-0At Home Last Season2-4-0UNDER

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