November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

Navy vs UCF 11/10/2018

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UCF is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over Navy. McKenzie Milton is averaging 292 passing yards and 3.2 TDs per simulation and Greg McCrae is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 38% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where Navy wins, Garret Lewis averages 0.5 TD passes vs 0.18 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.27 TDs to 0.38 interceptions. Malcolm Perry averages 161 rushing yards and 1.3 rushing TDs when Navy wins and 147 yards and 0.55 TDs in losses. UCF has a 21% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCF -25.5 --- Over/Under line is 63

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

NavyATS RECORDUCFATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-5-1All Games6-1-0UCF
Road & Neutral Field1-4-0Home Games4-0-0UCF
When Underdog2-2-1When Favored6-1-0UCF
Conference Opp1-3-1Conference Opp4-1-0UCF
Opp .500+ Record2-2-1Opp Under .5003-0-0UCF

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

NavyATS RECORDUCFATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-8-0All Games8-4-1UCF
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Home Games3-3-0Navy
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored6-4-1UCF
Conference Opp1-6-0Conference Opp5-3-1UCF
Opp .500+ Record2-6-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-1UCF

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

NavyO-U-P RECORDUCFO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-4-0UNDER
On Road2-3-0At Home2-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-8-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-6-0At Home Last Season5-1-0UNDER

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