November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

Louisiana-Monroe vs South Alabama 11/10/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Louisiana-Monroe winning 56% of simulations, and South Alabama 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Louisiana-Monroe commits fewer turnovers in 19% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. South Alabama wins 54% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Caleb Evans is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Evan Orth is averaging 280 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USA +5.5 --- Over/Under line is 62

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Louisiana-MonroeATS RECORDSouth AlabamaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-5-0All Games2-6-0Louisiana-Monroe
Road & Neutral Field2-3-0Home Games1-2-0Louisiana-Monroe
When Favored0-2-0When Underdog2-5-0South Alabama
Conference Opp2-3-0Conference Opp0-5-0Louisiana-Monroe
Opp Under .5000-3-0Opp .500+ Record1-4-0South Alabama

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Louisiana-MonroeATS RECORDSouth AlabamaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-6-0All Games5-6-0Louisiana-Monroe
Road & Neutral Field5-3-0Home Games2-3-0Louisiana-Monroe
When Favored1-1-0When Underdog4-2-0South Alabama
Conference Opp3-4-0Conference Opp4-4-0South Alabama
Opp Under .5002-4-0Opp Under .5002-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Louisiana-MonroeO-U-P RECORDSouth AlabamaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-1-0OVER
On Road1-4-0At Home3-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season5-6-0All Totals Last Season2-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-5-0At Home Last Season0-5-0UNDER

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