November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

Liberty vs Virginia 11/10/2018

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Virginia is a heavy favorite winning 84% of simulations over Liberty. Bryce Perkins is averaging 324 passing yards and 3.2 TDs per simulation and Bryce Perkins is projected for 80 rushing yards and a 58% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16% of simulations where Liberty wins, Stephen Calvert averages 2.48 TD passes vs 1.17 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.22 TDs to 1.55 interceptions. Frankie Hickson averages 83 rushing yards and 1.06 rushing TDs when Liberty wins and 75 yards and 0.65 TDs in losses. Virginia has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA -23.5 --- Over/Under line is 58

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

LibertyATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-2-0All Games6-2-0Virginia
Road & Neutral Field2-1-0Home Games4-1-0Virginia
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored3-1-0Virginia
Non-Conference Opp3-1-0Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Virginia
Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Opp .500+ Record5-1-0Liberty

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

LibertyATS RECORDVirginiaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-0-0All Games6-6-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games3-3-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored2-1-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-0-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

LibertyO-U-P RECORDVirginiaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0UNDER
On Road2-1-0At Home2-3-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season0-0-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season0-0-0At Home Last Season3-3-0No Edge

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