November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

California vs USC 11/10/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with California winning 45% of simulations, and USC 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. California commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. USC wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Patrick Laird is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Aca\'Cedric Ware is averaging 78 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USC -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 48.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

CaliforniaATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-4-0All Games3-6-0California
Road & Neutral Field3-1-0Home Games1-3-0California
When Underdog3-1-0When Favored3-3-0California
Conference Opp3-3-0Conference Opp3-4-0California
Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-4-0California

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

CaliforniaATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-0All Games4-10-0California
Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Home Games2-6-0California
When Underdog7-3-0When Favored4-8-0California
Conference Opp6-3-0Conference Opp4-6-0California
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp Under .5001-1-0California

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

CaliforniaO-U-P RECORDUSCO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-4-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field0-4-0On Road & Neutral Field2-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-6-0All Totals Last Season8-6-0OVER
On Road & Neutral Field '173-3-0On Road & Neutral Field '173-3-0No Edge

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