November 09, 2018 1:33 PM CST

Appalachian State vs Texas State 11/10/2018

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Appalachian State is a heavy favorite winning 90% of simulations over Texas State. Zac Thomas is averaging 200 passing yards and 2.17 TDs per simulation and Darrynton Evans is projected for 124 rushing yards and a 59% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10% of simulations where Texas State wins, Tyler Vitt averages 1.42 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.67 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Anthony D. Taylor averages 38 rushing yards and 0.42 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 33 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. Appalachian State has a 29% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TXST +20.5 --- Over/Under line is 48

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Appalachian StateATS RECORDTexas StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-2-0All Games6-2-0Texas State
Road & Neutral Field4-1-0Home Games2-1-0Appalachian State
When Favored4-2-0When Underdog5-2-0Texas State
Conference Opp3-2-0Conference Opp5-1-0Texas State
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Texas State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Appalachian StateATS RECORDTexas StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-6-0All Games5-6-0Appalachian State
Road & Neutral Field2-5-0Home Games2-3-0Texas State
When Favored4-5-0When Underdog5-6-0Texas State
Conference Opp4-4-0Conference Opp4-4-0No Edge
Opp Under .5003-4-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Texas State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Appalachian StateO-U-P RECORDTexas StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field3-2-0On Road & Neutral Field2-3-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season4-7-0All Totals Last Season6-4-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '172-5-0On Road & Neutral Field '172-3-0UNDER

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