October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Wisconsin vs Michigan 10/13/2018

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wisconsin winning 42% of simulations, and Michigan 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wisconsin commits fewer turnovers in 24% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Michigan wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jonathan Taylor is averaging 126 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Karan Higdon is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICH -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 47

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

WisconsinATS RECORDMichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-4-0All Games3-3-0Michigan
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games3-1-0Wisconsin
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored3-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp2-1-0Michigan
Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Michigan

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

WisconsinATS RECORDMichiganATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-4-1All Games7-6-0Wisconsin
Road & Neutral Field5-1-1Home Games3-3-0Wisconsin
When Underdog0-0-1When Favored5-4-0No Edge
Conference Opp6-3-1Conference Opp6-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record3-2-1Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Wisconsin

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

WisconsinO-U-P RECORDMichiganO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-3-0OVER
On Road1-0-0At Home3-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-6-0All Totals Last Season7-5-1OVER
On Road Last Season4-3-0At Home Last Season4-2-0OVER

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