October 12, 2018 12:03 PM CDT

Purdue vs Illinois 10/13/2018

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Purdue is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Illinois. D.J. Knox is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Illinois wins, AJ Bush averages 1.27 TD passes vs 0.48 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.74 TDs to 0.61 interceptions. AJ Bush averages 62 rushing yards and 0.68 rushing TDs when Illinois wins and 55 yards and 0.38 TDs in losses. Purdue has a 22% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL +10.5 --- Over/Under line is 62

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

PurdueATS RECORDIllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-2-0All Games2-2-0Purdue
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games0-2-0Purdue
When Favored1-2-0When Underdog1-1-0Illinois
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp1-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Opp Under .5001-0-0Illinois

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

PurdueATS RECORDIllinoisATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-4-0All Games4-8-0Purdue
Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Home Games2-5-0Purdue
When Favored4-2-0When Underdog4-6-0Purdue
Conference Opp5-4-0Conference Opp3-6-0Purdue
Opp Under .5003-2-0Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Purdue

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

PurdueO-U-P RECORDIllinoisO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0OVER
On Road1-0-0At Home1-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season3-10-0All Totals Last Season5-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-6-0At Home Last Season2-5-0UNDER

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